Tom, I don't recall if you ever mentioned what your patch lube is.
If it is something like Wonder Lube or the T/C equivalent, there is your problem. Paste patch lube is not user friendly, to the best of my instincts.
I recall where Ox Yoke and T/C did a marketing bit of an experiment with Wonder Lubed patches. It was done at the Ox Yoke plant in Maine several years ago. I think they wound up shooting like 150 shots, maybe more and they boasted that they never wiped the barrel at all. As Paul Harvey used to say, "And now - the rest of the story." They used squib loads of Ffffg powder. They never actually said yes, but when I asked them about it and I gave my opinion, Stan, the sales manager just smiled and said, OK.
Upon looking at your target, I see you are using a liquid lube.
Try really saturating the patch first and see if that helps.
I am also thinking that using a 95 grain charge is more than that 1:48 barrel wants or needs.
Try dropping your charge a tad bit and see if that helps.
Or, just sell or give the remainder of the container to an unsuspecting person and go back to what works. I think that is what I would do.
John